{"id":23609,"date":"2025-12-15T07:34:23","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T03:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kabul-24.com\/en\/?p=23609"},"modified":"2025-12-15T07:34:23","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T03:04:23","slug":"afghanistans-economy-grows-for-second-consecutive-year-deep-structural-challenges-persist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kabul-24.com\/en\/afghanistans-economy-grows-for-second-consecutive-year-deep-structural-challenges-persist\/","title":{"rendered":"Afghanistan&#8217;s Economy Grows for Second Consecutive Year; Deep Structural Challenges Persist"},"content":{"rendered":"<h5 style=\"text-align: left;\">According to the latest World Bank Afghanistan Development Update (December 2025), Afghanistan&#8217;s economy is on a growth path for the second year in a row.<\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/Www.bbc.com\">Kabul 24<\/a>: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by approximately 2.5% in 2024, with projections reaching 4.3% in 2025. This expansion occurs amid relatively controlled inflation and improved domestic revenues, but it remains overshadowed by profound structural challenges, widespread poverty, and demographic pressures.The World Bank forecasts GDP growth at 4.3% in 2025, up from 2.5% in 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Much of this is driven by increased domestic demand following the return of over two million migrants from Iran and <a href=\"https:\/\/kabul-24.com\/en\/diplomatic-embarrassment-for-sharif-putin-keeps-pakistani-pm-waiting-40-minutes\/\">Pakistan<\/a>, boosting activity in services, industry, mining, and construction. The agriculture sector has shown relative stability despite severe droughts, contributing significantly through a record harvest of irrigated wheat.<\/p>\n<p>However, this economic growth has not translated into improved livelihoods for the population. Rapid population growth, estimated at 8.6% in 2025, is expected to cause a roughly 4% decline in per capita income. Inflation hovers around 2%\u2014one of the lowest in the region\u2014linked to stable food prices and a relatively strong national currency.<\/p>\n<p>Yet this also highlights the economy&#8217;s heavy reliance on imports and vulnerability to external shocks.In public finance, domestic revenues have improved, with internal tax revenues projected to reach 17.1% of GDP in 2025. Declining foreign aid, however, has constrained the government&#8217;s fiscal space, increasing dependence on trade-related taxes and international support.<\/p>\n<p>The banking system remains fragile, facing regulatory uncertainties, rising non-performing loans, weak credit growth, liquidity shortages, and the ongoing transition to Islamic banking. Cash circulation outside the formal system has further limited access to financial services.<\/p>\n<p>The labor market is under intense pressure. Nearly one in four young people is unemployed, and restrictions on women&#8217;s education and economic participation have weakened human capital and long-term growth prospects.<\/p>\n<p>The massive return of migrants\u2014estimated at 4 to 4.7 million from late 2023 to mid-2025\u2014has exacerbated strains on job opportunities and public services, particularly in urban and border areas.<\/p>\n<p>The World Bank stresses that sustaining this growth requires fundamental reforms: attracting private investment, strengthening the financial system, diversifying exports, converting returnee-driven demand into sustainable employment, improving governance, creating a better business environment, and enhancing engagement with the international community.<\/p>\n<p>Without these steps, Afghanistan&#8217;s reliance on humanitarian aid will persist, and prospects for inclusive, long-term growth will remain limited.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to the latest World Bank Afghanistan Development Update (December 2025), Afghanistan&#8217;s economy is on a growth path for the second year in a row. Kabul 24: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by approximately 2.5% in 2024, with projections reaching 4.3% in 2025. This expansion occurs amid relatively controlled inflation and improved domestic revenues, but [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":23610,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23609","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-world"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Afghanistan&#039;s Economy Grows for Second Consecutive Year; Deep Structural Challenges Persist - Kabul24<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"According to the latest World Bank Afghanistan Development Update (December 2025), Afghanistan&#039;s economy is on a growth path for the second\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kabul-24.com\/en\/afghanistans-economy-grows-for-second-consecutive-year-deep-structural-challenges-persist\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Afghanistan&#039;s Economy Grows for Second Consecutive Year; 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